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Predictive AnalyticsPredictive Analytics
Medical Analytics Specialization
Using SAS technologies, Creative Computing is working to systematically address weaknesses within healthcare organizations that cause patients to receive substandard care. Our goal is to find new and creative areas to apply analytical applications to save lives.

Leveraging analytics to improve patient care is what drives many of us at Creative Computing. According to a report released by the Institute of Medicine in 2000, between 44,000 and 98,000 medical error-related deaths occur each year in the US, exceeding deaths attributable to motor vehicle accidents, breast cancer, and AIDS. According to the 2006 “State of Health Care Quality,” published by the National Committee for Quality Assurance, an additional 37,600 to 81,000 deaths are estimated to occur each year in the US as a result of unjustifiable variation in care caused by physician training, geographical locations, and other medically irrelevant factors.

Four reoccurring themes Creative Computing has observed within healthcare facilities that may result in substandard care include:
  • • Overwhelmed clinicians who occasionally overlook medically-relevant information as a result of being bombarded with data
  • [E.g. Patient charts are often comprised of large quantities of unanalyzed raw data]
  • • Failure of physicians to follow treatment best practice and clinical pathways
  • [E.g. Clinician style of medicine may not adhere to accepted best practice]
  • • Disparate and decentralized data sources within hospitals and clinics
  • [E.g. Patient Registration, laboratory, data recording instruments]
  • • Inability to identify, quantify, and provide preventative care for patients at risk of future illness
  • [E.g. Forecasting risk of cardiovascular disease in ten years]
Puzzle Pieces
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Predictive AnalyticsBy networking and collaborating with physicians, mathematicians, and scholars from around the world, Creative Computing is beginning to confront these and other clinical challenges on a broad scale that impacts individual patients, practitioners, organizations, and populations. We seek to improve clinical practice through real-time measurement, analysis, and automation of processes to ensure adherence to best practice. An abridged list of sample questions that fall within our scope and interest are listed below.

Population Level
  • 1. What happened when the first aid guideline was changed?
  • 2. Why did the incidence of reported tuberculosis increase over the last five weeks?
  • 3. Where should we invest additional bioterrorism prevention resources?
  • 4. How fast would a small pox epidemic be detected in a specific region?
  • 5. How can hospital data systems best be networked for early epidemic detection?
Organization Level
  • 1. What happened when we implemented the new infectious disease control plan?
  • 2. Why did the incidence of nosocomial infections increase over the past year?
  • 3. Which department requires additional nurses staffed to improve its performance?
  • 4. How many HIV patients will the hospital receive in the next month?
  • 5. Which bed placement strategy will minimize patient fall risk?
Department Level
  • 1. What benefit did providing ER physicians with a data organizer provide?
  • 2. Why did the average ICU length of stay decrease over the past two months?
  • 3. Which physicians are most closely adhering to antibiotic treatment protocol?
  • 4. How many ECG tests will be ordered by the department next year?
  • 5. How much should the department invest in training?
Clinician Level
  • 1. Did changing my questioning technique improve the quality of care I render?
  • 2. Why did the frequency of my patients following discharge orders decline?
  • 3. Which patients are optimal candidates for a new treatment?
  • 4. How many of my patients will adhere to their annual check-up schedule this year?
  • 5. How will the mean length of stay for my patients compare to my colleagues next month?
Patient Level
  • 1. Has this change in my diet decreased my weight?
  • 2. How many calories should I consume per day given my medical history?
  • 3. Is my daily intake of a particular vitamin too high given my personal history?
  • 4. What is my risk of having a heart attack in the next seven years?
  • 5. Which healthcare facility is best suited to treat my condition?
Symptom Level
  • 1. Do these signs, symptoms, and patient history indicate an underlying chronic illness?
  • 2. What order should diagnostic tests be performed for this set of symptoms?
  • 3. Which combination of symptom and history most likely supports a disease?
  • 4. Given symptoms and patient history, which follow-up tests should be performed?
  • 5. How can diagnostic accuracy be maximized?
Therapy Level
  • 1. Will this therapy effectively treat this condition in a specific patient?
  • 2. What dosage of medication is best given a specific patient’s history?
  • 3. Which therapy will best preserve quality of life while treating the disease?
  • 4. Given a history, what will be the most likely outcome for this treatment path?
  • 5. Which treatment is likely to yield the shortest recovery time?
Several long-term goals of Creative Computing include designing SAS systems to:
  • • Automate epidemiological surveillance to include the real-time detection and activation of countermeasures against outbreaks or bioterrorism events via live data links between healthcare organizations in New England.
  • • Centralize medical data sources across most all healthcare facilities in New England.
  • • Automate detection and ranking of patient risk factors, treatment priorities, triage, and physician/procedure scheduling.
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